A Link I Like, a Link I Don't

Here are my do and don’t links for 1/10/06:

One I Do:

Gapingvoid hits the nail on the head. Number 3 is my favorite, because bloggers are people and people generally want to talk more than they want to listen. We post with our mouths and we link with our ears.

One I Don’t:

If I got a write up in Wired or the NYT, you better believe you’d read about it here, so I am all over that, but Jason has been caught in the anaconda-like grip of the self-congratulatory hug.

More on the (Im)possibility Blog Building

slogAmy Gahran posted an interesting and well thought out response to my earlier post about the difficulty in growing a new blog. She sets forth her strategy for building a new blog and, in a comment to my post, asked if I have ever tried the things she suggests.

First, a little about her strategy for new blogs.

One of her core strategies is to find your focus and identify your target audience. That’s a very sound strategy. For example, if I really wanted to “own” an area, I’d find some narrow topic that I really understand and I’d write and write and write about it. Eventually, I might own the area, but it would be a small area tightly directed at one topic. We did that with ACCBoards.Com and it worked. My attempt at expansion into audio video message boards was a complete failure, to put it mildly. So I am a believer in keeping your focus.

The thing about blogs in general and my blog in particular, however, is that blogs are a reflection of their owners. If I want to own a space, whether for ego or monetary purposes, finding and directing my focus ought to be job one. On the other hand, if I simply want to write about and promote discussion about whatever interests me at the moment, focus becomes a little more challenging, since it will undoubtedly change as my interests change. I am interested in a lot of different stuff. Tech, gadgets, music, kids, and an ebb and flow of other stuff. And, as my wife will attest, whatever project intrigues me today may bore me to tears next month. Maybe an evolving focus works- a lot of the blogs I enjoy the most are sort of random like that, or maybe there is a built-in limitation inherent in my approach that will always send the rock rolling back down the hill.

On those days when I imagine Newsome.Org really taking off, it’s based on a three part process:

1) I actually do have a pretty unique combination of experiences, both tech related and non-tech related. And while I’m not going to paste my resume all over the place in some stomp my foot effort to convince people to listen to what I have to say, hopefully these experiences will allow me to write stuff that over time people find interesting and worthwhile. It’s more of a (hopefully) perspective advantage than a focus advantage. At least on my optimistic days.

2) If I keep writing consistently, at some point I will have been around a “long time” and more people will feel comfortable including me in the conversation by linking to me, and responding when I link to them. This sustained approach is exactly what Amy recommends in her comment to my post. My experience so far suggests that this approach will work to some extent. The big question is to what extent. While I get very discouraged when link post after link post (meaning a post that says “so and so has a post about xyz”) show up in the discussion links at Memeorandum, while my longer, more analytical posts get ignored (they used to show up regularly, but no more), I do have quite a few readers and my traffic has increased pretty consistently. But it’s hard. And it’s uphill. And sometimes I get tired.

3) I hope to find a group of other bloggers to engage in cross-blog conversations, like Amy talks about here. A virtual watercooler of cross-linking blogs can help build a critical mass. Richard Querin, Brad Kellet and I have started doing this a little. It really helps when you feel like you’re working with other people, as opposed to all by yourself in an isolated corner of cyberspace.

So, yes, I am at least trying to try the sustained effort. I can’t say for sure that it’s going to get me there, but I am making progress. What I don’t know is how long I can keep plugging away without some sort of psychological payoff- like a link here and there; getting on some blogrolls; that sort of thing. I guess as long as I’m having fun, I’ll keep doing it.

And now back upon my soapbox for another sermon on my favorite topic:

The fact remains that the people who believe they are somehow going to make a lot of money by doing a blog are guarding the door to the club too closely. I’m not trying to get rich by blogging, and, candidly, I think blogging to make money is sort of like playing hoops to get to the NBA- it takes the fun out of it and ultimately leads to disappointment. For me blogs are about conversations, hearing and being heard. An expanded, combined, evolved and more useful version of message boards and personal websites.

But there’s one thing I know: add the prospect of money to any equation and things get very complicated. Newsome’s Rule. Write it down.

Anyhow, Amy writes a great piece on blog building, and I am grateful for the opportunity to participate in the discussion. Richard, Brad, anyone? What do you think?

The Google Bubble

Henry Blodget has a post about Google’s stock price that brings back some bad memories from the late nineties and early oughts.

Back in the nineties, I became a great investor like everyone else who bought tech stocks. I made some nutty (paper) returns for a few years, got quoted in a few investing articles, was selected for SmartMoney Magazine’s Investor Panel and got on the cover of Money Magazine. Then I lost all of the paper profit when the tech bubble burst. I also lost the deal to sell ACCBoards.Com for seven figures and a bunch of stock, but that’s another sad story.

I think Google rocks. I really do. But it’s about more than rocking; it’s about making money. And Google trades at a PE Ratio in the hundreds. Back in the day, I would have thought about taking a small position just to join the fun and see what happens. Not today. I learned my lesson.

Some of the stocks I can think of off the top of my head that I rode all the way to (or near) zero are Exodus, Enron, MCI, 360 Networks and JDS Uniphase. Yes, I made a lot of money on Cisco, Applied Materials and eBay (I still own those at a very low split-adjusted price), but it wasn’t all that long ago that my losses on the bad buys were greater than my profit on the good ones. Buying stocks is like playing golf: one bad pick won’t kill you, but three bad holes will. If you make a handful of triple bogies, it doesn’t really matter how you do on the rest of the holes.

I think Google rocks, but I’m sitting this one out.

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Windows Live Messenger

livemessengerI’ve started beta testing Windows Live Messenger, the forthcoming new edition of Windows Messenger.

I’ve never been more than an occasional user of instant messaging programs because nobody I know uses them. In theory, I like the idea of instant messaging as a way to keep in regular touch with family members across the country. Once again, I wish I could get my extended family to try it.

I’m going to give Windows Live Messenger a try for at least the next month or so and see how things go. I use jknpublic@hotmail.com as my email address for instant messaging purposes if you want to give me a shout.

Once I’ve played around with it, I’ll post my thoughts about the features and improvements.

TIVO Deathwatch: Flatlining?

nailcoffinI saw a note at PVR Wire that Jim Cramer, who I generally like, has said that he believes TIVO’s stock price will “flatline now.” While this should not be surprising to anyone who has watched DirecTV abandon TIVO and TIVO flail around wildly looking for a lifeline, it’s another sign that TIVO continues its march to the edge of the cliff.

TIVO has been forced to align itself with the cable companies who probably view this as a way to entice some current satellite users back to cable. This may keep TIVO alive for a while, until the cable companies either abandon TIVO and develop their own, probably inferior, box or wait for TIVO to be teetering on the edge of the cliff and buy it cheaply.

Someone will buy TIVO at some point, the only question is when and for how much.

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One More From the List

I was very happy to see this morning that I got another one of the presents on my Christmas List. John Perry Barlow has a new blog entry. Even better, he indicates he will write more blog posts and emails in 2006. That is great news.

Not only is John a brilliant songwriter, the co-founder of the Electronic Frontier Foundation, and one of the most intelligent and interesting (not a terribly common combination) writers I have ever read, he is a really nice guy. When Cassidy was born in 1998 and named after a song John co-wrote, I emailed him, told him about Cassidy and sent him a photo. He wrote Cassidy not one but 3 emails over the next year or so, just checking in to see how she was doing. Those emails will mean as much to Cassidy when she grows up as they do to me now.

I hope to read a lot of John’s writing in 2006. Welcome back, my friend!

The final count on my list seems to be 9 out of 10 (never made it on Dwight Silverman‘s blogroll). I’ll take those numbers any time. Especially if one of the 9 is more posts at BarlowFriendz.

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ScobleFeeds A-Z: The L’s

This is part twelve of my A-Z review of Scoble‘s feeds. The rules and criteria are here.

Some good stuff in this group, so we have another tie:

Leave It Behind > Brian Bailey (RSS Feed)

The Long Tail
(RSS Feed)

Leave It Behind > Brian Bailey is a blog about “blogging, web development and fatherhood.” It’s a really good mix of tech, family stuff and other interesting topics.

The Long Tail started at a disadvantage when I saw the name because that phrase annoys me the way Web 2.0 does, but once I read the blog, I simply could not believe how much great information was there. Take this for example. Or this. This blog could be named Pre-Owned Cars and it would still make my list.

Honorable Mention:

Longhorn Blogs (RSS Feed)

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XM Passport

Gizmodo has a short post and photo of the forthcoming XM Radio Passport, a tiny portable chip that lets you easily take your satellite radio with you. XM receivers and stereos will soon have a slot that will allow you to pop in the Passport and access your XM account over more than one receiver. Yes, I know you can lug around the Ski-Fi unit and do that now, but the Passport looks small and easy enough to carry and use that someone might actually do it for longer than a week.

I hope the Passport will be a welcome solution to this mobility problem that has required people (like me, for example) to maintain multiple XM accounts just to easily get XM in the car and at home. At one time, I had three accounts, but the headache and cost ultimately lead me to let 2 of them expire- meaning I can only get XM in my truck at this point. Someone at XM is making smart, consumer-friendly decisions that will help XM move from the car to the living room, which is exactly what it needs for long term growth and stability.

This is another example of how XM is making some good strategic decisions. I am starting to think of XM as the anti-TIVO when it comes to strategic planning and execution- and that’s a compliment to XM.

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ScobleFeeds A-Z: The K’s

This is part eleven of my A-Z review of Scoble‘s feeds. The rules and criteria are here.

There are not a ton of K’s, but I found a couple of good ones:

Knowing.Net (RSS Feed)

Knowing.Net is Larry O’Brien’s blog about software development and computer language. It sounds like a hard science blog, but it’s a lot more than that. In addition to articles about software development and programming, Larry writes about gadgets, music (he likes Pandora as much as I do), movies and blogging in general. A good fit for any blogroll.

Honorable Mention:

Kottke.Org (RSS Feed) (ineligible because I already read it)

Kevin Schofield’s Weblog (RSS Feed)

Kiruba Shankar (RSS Feed)

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