The Argument for Gather

citizenjournalismThere is a long and thoughtful post at Mister Snitch about the citizen media movement which, combined with all the venture capital money out there chasing deals, might just make the About.Com-inspired, Wikipedia-be-damned, bloggers-come-a-runnin’ model proposed by Gather work.

Maybe. Let’s take a closer look.

There’s a Lot of Money Chasing Deals

This is absolutely true. For the time being. A market disruption, Steve Rubel’s predicted Web 2.0 crash and any number of other things could change that. But for now, there is no arguing that there’s mad money out there. Candidly, I believe the Gather funding that kick-started this conversation is proof positive of this.

Mister Snitch compares the Gather plan with the current structure of Blogcritics, where contributors get paid in “attention and swag” as opposed to dollars. Yes, we can all agree that dollars are better (with all due respect to Steve Miller), but all those writers posting at Blogcritics (which is a cool site, by the way), can also post their material on their own blogs and (drum roll please) make money there to go with the attention and swag.

Bottom line: I doubt Eric is all that worried about Gather.

Will the Reporters Come, Even if the Bloggers Don’t?

Another point Mister Snitch makes is that all the soon to be unemployed reporters at all of the dying on the vine newspapers may turn to Gather in the hopes it will enable them to make an independent living by blogging on local events.

I agree that newspapers are dying and that there will be a local trend to the news reporting of the future (in whatever form it takes).

But what I don’t agree with is the idea that somehow Gather will be a better platform for these local bloggers (nee beat writers). Why not just do your own blog or some sort of loosely based blog network with a shared AdSense account. Again, where is the value Gather will add that warrants a share of the revenue?

I’m not trying to pick on Gather. To the contrary, I think it will be an ideal outlet for a select number of (likely not technically savvy) writers, who don’t want to fool with the whole blog thing. I just don’t think it represents some evolutionary advance in the writing, attracting readers and generating ad revenue arena. At best it will be a leading online newspaper, hiring reporters (via a revenue share) the same way traditional newspapers hire writers now. There’s not a thing wrong with that, but it’s not a stop the presses moment (to borrow a phrase) in the development of the blogosphere.

Mad Money Accelerates the Demise of the Traditional Newspaper

Mister Snitch also talks a lot about the acceleration of the end of traditional print media in the face of wild spending on these move to the edge, citizen media driven, online sources.

Clearly, I agree with this. Like many other areas, the movement to the edge will result in the banishment of the traditional gatekeepers, be they record labels, radio stations or newspapers. As Mister Snitch correctly points out, Craigslist, Monster and eBay have already taken a lot of the traditional revenue sources away from the traditional newspapers.

The clock is ticking for traditional newspapers. Once our parents’ generation passes, the clock will stop. It’s not a matter of if, it’s a matter of when.

The Continuing Interest in Local News

I also agree Mister Snitch that the failing health of the traditional newspapers has nothing whatsoever to do with a lack of interest in local news. Sadly, however, the local newspapers don’t have the same talents and resources to reposition themselves as the leaders in local online news as their new born-online competitors do. For one, they move too slowly, as the Digg/Google Pack story indicates.

Additionally, the move to the edge will benefit citizen media (bloggers and aggregated blogs) first and foremost. Old media was the gatekeeper for a long time and once that wall is knocked down, human nature will dictate a change in the parties responsible for distribution of news and other content.

I do think that the one and only chance traditional newspapers have is to go online completely by putting it all out there for free and trying to move their ad sales online. One thing newspapers know how to do is sell ads. But every day that passes makes this transformation harder and less likely.

The Counter Arguments

Mister Snitch then examines and makes the counter-argument against a couple of the arguments posed by myself and others over the past couple of days.

In general, the rebuttal to these argument is that a lot of the existing networks and mega-blogs are brands themselves- such that anyone who leaves can be quickly replaced. And that Gather is trying to be a platform where the writers are the brand, not the website. OK, but that’s true of any blog created and manned by these writers. Other than the fact Gather seems to plan on selling ads directly, what’s different about this and an AdSense supported blog or blog network?

The other argument, which we all know is dear to my heart, is that it would take too long for one of these displaced writers, acting independently, to build an audience. Certainly I agree with that, but as a lot of people have explained to me in the comments here and in cross-blog conversations, it can be done. Any “A-List” writer would have an audience that would follow him or her to the new location. Others could slug it out like I do or create or join a blog network. Again, what’s the Gather advantage here?

Then Mister Snitch goes into the “best of the best in one place” argument, which sounds an awful lot like an attempt to be the online gatekeeper. Maybe that will work, but there are two problems with it: one, the implication that Gather will choose the best of the best (surely not everyone can write there) implies a troubling subjective element; two, the best writers will find an audience, whether they write at Gather, at their own blog or on subway walls.

My Conclusions

Mad money will allow the rise of a few of these print media to online content websites and a few of them will become major players in the blogosphere, but Steve is right, the party won’t last forever. Additionally, my extensive experience in the blogosphere’s forefather, the internet message boards, taught me that the best, most popular writers will eventually want to own their platform. So eventually the money will move on and the writers will jump ship. Like the demise of the traditional newspaper, the only question is when.

Digging into Digg in Real Time

digg

There’s an article in today’s Wall Street Journal about Digg, one of the core Web 2.0 web sites. Here’s the brief history and purpose of Digg according to the story:

What would happen if a Web site’s readers — instead of editors — could decide which stories should be published? Technology journalist Kevin Rose decided to find out. Two years ago he started a technology news site called Digg.com. The Web site lets users submit links to stories they recommend, along with brief summaries. Users also vote for submissions by clicking on a button labeled “digg it.” Each person can vote once per story. The most popular stories — determined by a formula the site doesn’t disclose, including factors like the number of votes received and the time of day — are automatically promoted to the site’s main page.

That sounds both visionary (particularly 2 years ago), useful and very much consistent with the move to the edge we’ve been talking about. All that makes it a little embarrassing for me to admit that I’ve never used Digg. Apparently I signed up in August 2005, because I have an account. But until today I’ve never explored or used it.

Let’s dig into Digg in real time and see what the big deal is. This is where multiple monitors and Firefox tabs become very handy.

Logging in and Profiling Up

I remembered my name and password after a couple of false starts. First stop, the Profile Page so I can fill in my particulars. There are three tabs there: Digging History (I don’t have any yet), Friends (I don’t have any of those either; I’d write Steve Rubel and ask if he’d be my friend, but he doesn’t read email from the hoi polloi so I better not) and Personal Profile.

Digging History shows what stories you have Dugg (more on that below). I am a man in need of a history, so I went back to the front page and saw some story bashing the RIAA’s cousin the MPAA. I dug it, so I Dugg it by clicking on the Digg icon. Clicking on the Digg item represents a vote for a story, which moves the story up the Digg list. When I clicked the Digg icon, the Digg number for that story immediately went up by 1 and a link to that story showed up in my Digging History. I now have a history.

Friends shows people you have added to your list of friends. You can search for friends by username, email address, name or location. I searched for Steve by name and email address and came up with nothing. Bummer. I did find Scoble (who I actually do consider a friend), but he hasn’t used his Digg account either, so he can’t show me the ropes. I’ll have to find some friends later, so on to the Personal Profile.

Your Personal Profile a place for, yes, your personal profile (name, email, website, IM address, etc.). It would be cool to have a place for links to other similar sites here- Delicious, Bloglines, etc. There is also a place on the page where your Digg stats are displayed (mine are pretty dismal since I’ve only Dugg that one story) and a place to select some display options for browsing around the Digg site (same window, new window, etc.) I made my selections and headed off to find some interesting stuff to read.

And Did I Find Good Stuff to Read?

Clicking the Home link at the top takes you back to the Digg Front Page, where the top stories appear based on a secret formula based on factors like the number of votes received and the time of day. The idea is that users pick the stories that get to the top, and that this citizen media approach will generally move faster than, and consequently scoop, old media. According to the Wall Street Journal story, Digg got the Google Pack story out hours before anybody else.

The stories I found were, as expected and as desired, heavily tech weighted and happily different from the ones I’d already seen this morning via my RSS feeds and daily reads. There were some stories about Firefox 2.0, a live rocket launch, WiFi and the NSA spying on us.

I am a big Firefox fan, so I followed that link, which had been Dugg 961 times (front page stories ranged from 71 to 969 Diggs). I didn’t learn anything I didn’t already know, but I did find a source for Firefox news I didn’t know about.

All in all, it looks like a good place to mine for news and interesting content.

But Somehow it Feels a Tad Stressful

And that’s the strange part. I can’t explain it but something about the voting process feels a little stressful. Almost like a news story beauty contest. It’s a subtle feeling, and not one that will keep me away. But it’s definitely there. I wonder if it’s just me or if this is something others have felt?

Conclusions and a Digg Submission

I have added Digg to my daily reading list (yes, I know I’m probably the last person on earth to so do). I think it will be a good resource, notwithstanding the vaguely stressful feeling it gives me.

I’m going to publish this post and then submit it to Digg. Digging my own post may be a violation of some policy that will get me booted and keep my Digging History at 2 forever, but I’m going for the full immersive experience here- and so far I think it’s pretty cool.

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Steve Newson on the ROI for Blogging

Steve Newson posted a thought provoking article yesterday examining the return on investment for blogging. He linked to a post on markoos out and about where a software vendor found a post about its software and engaged in a very customer-friendly discussion via the comments. Steve’s point is that a large part of the return on investment for blogging is the goodwill generated thereby.

Even though there was not a perfect resolution to the problem discussed in the above example, the fact is that a software vendor set up a process to monitor blogs for posts about its product and came to the customer to try to be helpful. Think about that for a second. Instant goodwill.

I think Steve has hit the nail on the head. Amy Gahran feels the same way about Craig Newmark’s blog responses. Part of the reason I love Technorati so much is because Dave Sifry threw me the 99 yard pass when I had some (now resolved) indexing problems last year. This sort of goodwill is a win-win. The customer (and other customers and potential customers who read the exchange) feels genuinely important and the company builds goodwill, which translates to referrals, postive press and, most importantly, customer loyalty.

It’s not just Steve, Amy and me who are wowed by this sort of pro-active response. It’s everyone who reads these conversations and others like them. That kind of goodwill is a very good return on investment.

A Link I Like, a Link I Don't

Here are my do and don’t links for 1/16/06:

One I Do:

Susan Getgood really gives it to Steve Rubel in this post for basically telling people he’s too busy to read their emails and suggesting they start trying to get links from less popular blogs and try to work up to a link from him. While I agree with Steve that begging for links is not the way to get them (Scoble has the best advice for getting them), I find the tone of his post to be pretty arrogant. I love Susan’s “watch out for exploding egos” line.

Again, I largely agree with what I think he’s trying to say, but I don’t like the way he said it.

One I Don’t:

Duncan Riley is selling The Blog Herald. I enjoy Duncan’s writing and hate to see one of my daily reads go on the block. Hopefully, Duncan will start a new blog at some point, because he seems to be one of the good guys.

The New Solitaire

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes, the PC Doctor, posted a question today. He asked if blogging has become the new Solitaire, keeping workers pre-occupied at work and possibly driving down productivity, the way businesses feared computer Solitaire would when everyone got a desktop computer back in the nineties.

Ah, that first office computer…

solitaire-726125

I remember the first computer I got at my office downtown (not to be confused with my office at home, from where I write this). We were running what was probably the second or third newest version of DOS (that trend continues to this day). About all we could do was send emails (from some long-forgotten DOS-based interface) and use whatever the second or third newest version of WordPerfect was. If there were any games to be had back then, we didn’t know about it.

Some of us did figure out how to access other peoples’ email though, and I actually caused a fictional meeting to occur between two of my friends. I sent an email from each to the other asking to meet at a designated time and place about “an exciting new project.” Each one thought the other asked for the meeting and here’s the incredible part: they had the meeting and never figured out that it was bogus. They just started talking about all sorts of stuff and never got around to the “exciting new project.” That was almost as funny as the stuff some guys did back when we first got (and immediately hacked) voicemail. In the interest of CYA, let me note that I told both our IT department, who had asked me to fool around with the program to see if it was secure, and the two attendees about the joke; no one was offended and we all laughed about it.

We eventually got some two or three year old version of Windows and I remember that our IT folks went to great lengths to remove all the games. I really appreciated that when I was stuck on planes and in airports for hours and hours back in my traveling days.

Much later, we finally got access to the great big ol’ internet and, I guess because they knew we could find worse on the web, they actually left the games on our computers.

Did a ton of people play computer Solitaire then? Probably, but here’s the thing. There are two kinds of Solitaire players: those who play it for a while because it’s new and then lose interest (I went through that with Minesweeper back in the day) and those who become semi-addicted and play it all the time, either to avoid work or out of boredom, etc. The first group of people are not going to let it interfere with getting their work done. The second group would find some other diversion if the game was not available.

So is it the new Solitaire?

My observations from walking down the halls at my office lead me to believe that the new Solitaire is comprised of the same sort of things people did before blogs: computer dating services, online home listings, chat programs (for those who have figured out a way around my firm’s firewall) and a collection of flash-based online games (including, of course, Solitaire). Then there’s all the online newspapers, fantasy football pages and other online content. It may be different in other offices, but I don’t believe I’ve ever seen anyone reading or writing a blog at my office.

For most people, these diversions don’t interfere with their work in any material adverse way. For others, they do. But, again, if it wasn’t this it would be something else.

What about the Web 2.0 companies?

One of Adrian’s points is that all these people at work who are typing away at their computers doing what looks like work, but is actually surfing, taging, reading and writing on web sites like Technorati, Flickr, Bloglines, Delicious, Engadget, et. al, are creating mad value for these Web 2.0 companies at the expense of the companies who are paying their salaries. I’m certain this happens, but I don’t think it’s happening more with these companies that it did previously with Yahoo, Google and The New York times. It’s the same time wasting- only with cooler stuff.

Meet the new Solitaire…

So while I don’t know for sure, I suspect that, to paraphrase The Who, the new Solitaire is the same as the old Solitaire.

Growing a Blog One Reader at a Time

cropsTom Reynolds posted a thoughtful comment to my New Years Day rumination on the difficulty of building a new blog. His questions and suggestions got me thinking about this issue some more.

He asked what I would consider a marker of success. Certainly not making money, as the primary point in my “closed blogosphere” series of posts is that the perceived possibility of making money is the root of the problem. As I mentioned in my follow up post, I think blogging to make money is sort of like playing hoops to get to the NBA- it takes the fun out of it and ultimately leads to disappointment. Yes there are NBA players (Jason Calacanis being, I suppose, the Kobe of blogging), but there aren’t many NBA players and there aren’t many million dollar blogs. A new blogger has about the same chance of getting rich like Jason as my son does playing for the Lakers one day.

Cyndi Lauper was right: money changes everything. Newsome’s Rule: add the prospect of money to any equation and things get very complicated.

My marker of success is getting the opportunity to participate in the discussion. It’s not about who the discussion is with- it’s the fact that a discussion is taking place via cross-blog conversations. Otherwise, a blog starts to feel like a neighborhood newspaper left to decompose in the yard.

It’s about the interaction that I believe make blogs the natural evolution of the internet message board and newsgroup.

Tom suggests that bloggers should develop their own network of similar blogs to develop cross-conversations with. I think that is a great idea and have used that as one of my approaches in developing Newsome.Org. The list of blogs that I consider part of my virtual watercooler grows every day. Hopefully, I get added to their lists as well. Before you know it, you can get some inter-blog momentum. And that is both fun and rewarding.

The thing I really began to understand when thinking about some of the things Tom said is that you have to grow your blog one reader at a time. It’s a hard, uphill climb. But if an independent blogger can, in fact, get to the top of the mountain, that’s the only to do it.

Tom said he added Newsome.Org to his reading list. And that’s a great compliment in and of itself. If someone somewhere is interested in what you have to say, can you ask for anything more?

Naked Conversations is Released

Robert Scoble and Shel Israel’s long awaited book on blogging is now available at Amazon. The book, entitled Naked Conversations, is a why-to guide for business blogs, taking the position that almost every company should have a blog.

I have ordered it and am looking forward to reading it. Scoble’s blog has been the town square of the blogosphere for a long time, so if you had to pick one guy you’d want to teach you about blogs, Scoble would definitely be it.

Shel Israel is a well known expert on innovation and was involved in the development of PowerPoint, FileMaker and Sun Microsystems workstations.

If you want to know more about these guys and their book, they have a blog about the book and related topics.

I’ll post some more thoughts once I get into the book. In the meantime, congratulations to Robert and Shel!

More Technorati Speculation

Stephen Baker over at Business Week continued the “who will buy Technorati” prediction contest today by reaffirming his choice of Microsoft as the likely buyer. Mike Arrington’s choice is Yahoo, and of course mine is Google, for the reasons stated here.

The interesting thing about Stephen’s latest post is that it reminds us that the price for Technorati has probably gone up now that Technorati has seemingly overcome its scaling problems and made its service faster and more reliable. Technorati is run by some smart folks and I imagine they turned down some overtures in 2005 that would have netted a good, but not astronomical price.

That is starting to look like a brilliant move. Now that Yahoo has snapped up Delicious and Flickr, Microsoft and Google have to either pay through the nose (perhaps in a secret bidding war with each other) or let Yahoo take a commanding and perhaps overwhelming lead in the Web 2.0 race. A hobson’s choice for them but a dream come true for Technorati.

My choice remains Google, but the Rupert Mountjoy fan in me thinks it would be hilarious if Technorati tried to buy Yahoo, Google and Microsoft.