Microsoft Onfolio!

Scoble reports that Microsoft has bought Onfolio.

Assuming they didn’t pay nutty money, this is a great acquisition by Microsoft. I am a long time user of Onfolio and have sung its praises here before.

Scoble, please tell your guys to figure out a way to use Onfolio with FolderShare to allow us to synch our Onfolio content across computers, including (and this is important) what RSS feeds have already been read. Stop whatever you’re doing and go tell them that.

My Duke loving pal Buzz Bruggeman is another fan of Onfolio. And while he doesn’t know how to pick a college, he certainly knows good software when he sees it.

I wonder if Onfolio will become a part of One Note or remain a separate program.

JK (my mobile technology guru), want to venture a guess?

Origami: Anatomy of a Buzzkill

origami-716726Here’s how to make a buzzkill, courtesy of Microsoft.

So first Microsoft tosses out Office Live, only without the Office part. This confuses everyone in sight, including the best thing Microsoft has going for it, Robert Scoble.

Then we get 2006 a Flash Odyssey, giving us the vague feeling that something revolutionary is afoot. Scoble, having inexplicably been previously out of the loop, begins immediately and correctly trying to deflate the hype overload that Microsoft’s non-existent or bad (I can’t tell which) marketing department was engendering. He keeps trying, but Microsoft’s Fox Mulder-like approach to releasing details makes people believe that Origami will be made from Saturn’s rings and delivered by aliens.

By this time, there’s nothing Scoble can do. Yet, as he falls beneath the stampede he thrusts his pen once again at the problem.

By the time the truth is known, there is only one possible reaction: disappointment.

Now instead of a lot of talk about what Origami is and what it can do, there will be a lot of you’ve got to be kidding and is this what all the fuss was about.

Talk about snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

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Half Stepping the Big Stairs: the Irrelevance of IM

Fred Wilson is excited about AOL opening up AIM (sort of) to third party developers for incorporation into their products. He challenges AOL to take the only step that matters by allowing interoperability with the other IM applications. Jason Calacanis, who now works for AOL, agrees.

Letting developers build on top of AOL is fine. Steve Rubel points out the potential benefits to marketers via add-ons like AIM bots and feed alerts.

But this is a half step up a giant staircase. Rather than a parade and confetti, we need to be looking and AOL and saying “And……what else???”

Until IM applications are like phones, IM will never, ever be adopted by the masses. Text messaging has already passed IM in race for the instant communication mindshare primarily because you don’t need 5 cell phones in your pocket to make it work. Text messaging works cross-provider.

The IM race is still being run by closed, proprietary horses because they are competing based on user base and not on features and reliability. AIM has most of the AOL users (though you do not have to be an AOL customer to use it) and a large base of other users. Yahoo (the only company that can compete head to head with Google based on anything other than a large war chest of dollars) has a big user base. Microsoft has a program that is embedded into Windows, a large user base and a war chest of billions it can use to remain in the game. Google launched Google Talk, which promptly faded only to suffer relentless CPR at the hands of Gmail.

Each of these companies wants to win the user base war. Sharing protocols and allowing interconnectivity would turn IM programs into a commodity. These companies who are competing to become the one-stop internet shop for the masses do not want IM programs to become a commodity. Certainly AOL, trying unsuccessfully to stem the flow from behind the walls of its newbie castle, doesn’t want to give those newbies one more reason to cross the moat into the real internet.

Unless and until the day anyone can IM anyone else, all of this talk about IM applications is much ado about nothing.

In August of last year I wrote about the IM situation. I can’t sum it up any better today than I did then:

Until IM programs become like telephones, where the provider and the manufacturer of the telephone have nothing to do with who you can and can’t call, IM will simply not be adopted by grown-ups and businesses.

And that’s really too bad. IM could have been a contender.

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Looking Through You

Your lips are moving
I cannot hear
You voice is soothing
But the words aren’t clear
You don’t sound different
I’ve learned the game
I’m looking through you
You’re not the same
– The Beatles

Seth Finkelstein and Ethan Johnson are talking about marginalization in the blogosphere.

This is a complex and touchy issue, but here are my thoughts.

Common Sense and Fairness

Many, many times I have read things on a blog that have already been talked to death on other blogs. What’s OK and not OK in that situation is a “know it when you see it” sort of thing. Clearly if someone links to another blogger or engages him in a cross-blog conversation, then it would be wrong of him to restate what was said as if it were his own original thought.

On the other hand, if I talk about an issue today, some other blogger might talk about the same issue next week or next month, perhaps in a similar fashion, without ever having seen my post. The blogosphere is a big place and it’s impossible to know what everybody said today, much less in the past.

Maybe I’m being naive again, but I think if you apply common sense and fairness, these things will take care of themselves. And if you don’t, someone (be it Seth, Ethan, Kent or somebody we don’t know yet) will probably let you know.

But No Footnotes Please

Blogs are not generally research articles (thank goodness). But fairness is fairness, so some rules should apply.

It boils down to a couple of things.

First, the whole greater mindshare/Gatekeeper thing. I’ve had my say about that issue and, pending any new perspectives, I’m not going to rehash it all over again. It’s there. It’s not as bad as some think. Most of it is natural; a little bit of it is designed to exclude. But you can get inside the gates. Yada, yada, yada.

More importantly, and the thing this conversation makes me wonder about, is whether there is some implied duty to do a Technorati or Google search before you post something to see if someone else has already covered it (or in the case of a new discovery, already dis-covered it).

How Much is Enough

I generally search a little on a topic before I post on it to make sure I have at least most of my facts right and to look for other relevant and helpful links. Most of the time, I do this via a Technorati tag search. Once in a while (though much less often) I’ll do a Google search. But I don’t know that a search should be a requirement prior to posting about a topic.

It’s one thing if someone knows another writer has uncovered something new. In that case, I think a link ought to be included back to the original story. But the internet is a big place and if I have to do vast research before posting on something, then I’m not going to post very much.

If I were to accidentally jump to the front of the line on an issue, however, I would hope someone would let me know in an email or Comment, in which case I would (and should) supplement with a mention, link, etc.

Looking Through

I fully understand the frustration that occurs when someone posts something that you’ve already covered and it gets treated like earth shattering news. I protested (mildly) via satire when that happened about this very same Gatekeeper issue.

I don’t want to come off sounding like I can’t relate to the desire to be heard, because I can. And whether I write this blog for another year or 20 years, I will always do what I can to find and invite new voices to the table.

Sure, some people (and I think it’s a relatively small number) hand out links like medals. But given the communal nature of the blogosphere, those folks are their own worst enemy. And their numbers will decline over time as the blogosphere continues to flatten.

Just because someone doesn’t speak to you doesn’t mean they are ignoring you. They just may not have seen you.

Web 2.0 Wars: Round 10

It’s time for Round 10 in Newsome.Org’s Web 2.0 Wars. The contestants and rules are here.

This is the final heat of the first Round. The playoffs will be next.

Other Rounds:
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20

Here are the contestants for Round 10:

Riya
Audible Wordcast
Opinity
Reddit
MeasureMap
Gumshoo
Bluepulse
Imvu

***There’s a little green dot at the end of the line I can’t read, so it’s not included.

Riya is a photo sharing service with a twist. It has face and text recognition capability that help you identify and name your photos. I haven’t used it, but it has received lots of positive press in the blogosphere.

Audible Wordcast is a service that allows users to manage, measure and monetize podcasts. It uses a proprietary audio format and allows you to include advertising in your podcast (just what we need, more advertising). You can sign up for their fancy package and sell (yes sell) the right to listen to your podcast on the Wordcast site. Let me know how that works out for you.

Opinity is a “reputation services company.” Somehow you can check out a person by filling in a form. Sounds sort of creepy to me.

Reddit is a link aggregator where users vote stories up and down, similar to (but much less known than) Digg. Well designed site, but as I have said, the news by contest thing doesn’t really work for me.

MeasureMap is a stats tracking service for blogs. The front page says it’s free, but you have to request an invitation.

Gumshoo is an eBay auction risk analyzer and misspelling search. It’s supposed to help you find stuff easier and avoid auction fraud

Bluepulse has something to do with mobile technology. Its vaguely written About page and the lack of an FAQ make it seem more like an online version of Myst. Get an FAQ already.

Imvu is a 3D Instant Message application. You chat via a 3D avatar.

Before Today I’d Heard of:

1 out of 8.

And the Winner of Round 10 is:

Riya in a cakewalk.

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About this Second Life Thing

After reading about Second Life at Scoble’s blog and elsewhere, I gave it a try tonight. My thoughts later, but first a question.

Is this related to that deal that AOL (or maybe it was Compuserve?) launched or almost did 10 or so years ago? A long, long time ago I was a beta tester for something very similar. I can’t remember what it was called- maybe something “scapes?” Anyway, I was a beta tester along with a ton of other people, which meant we had many months of free service. It was pretty amazing by the standards of the day. Once it went live, I didn’t want to pay for it, so I never signed up. That spelled the end of my great avatars, Fritz the Cat and Shakes the Clown.

Anybody remember what I’m talking about?

So tonight I sign up (Ezra Snickerdoodle) and create a cyber-Kent/Ezra and wonder around the place a bit. Again, this is very, very similar to that deal I talked about above.

second life avatar

It is a pretty cool deal, but I really need to go when someone I know will be there, since I’m not much into the chat scene and am probably about 100 years older than the next oldest person in there.

The one problem I had, which is what made me stop playing Doom back in the day, is that I start feeling motion sick when I walk or fly (I had that dream as a kid) around.

I don’t know that Second Life has much appeal for me, but I can sure see how kids would dig it.

Podcaster’s Hill

Doc Searls had some very nice things to say about my podcast. Thanks Doc, I really appreciate it.

As I mentioned on my most recent podcast and as Doc mentioned in his post, it’s sort of hard to get a podcast started. With blogs, you can tell via comments and links and whatnot roughly how many people are reading and responding to what you write.

With podcasting, it’s a little harder to tell. Yes, you get subscriber numbers (I forgot they made numbers that low), but a lot of people, myself included, listen to podcasts via their computer, without subscribing. Heck, I don’t even own an iPod. Plus, podcasts are not yet the interactive creations that blogs are, so there’s less of a chance for people to give you feedback.

Doc is a member of my favorite podcast, the Gillmor Gang, and has some podcast related content on one of his web sites. I listen to the Gillmor Gang regularly and have wondered aloud why no one has done a Texas or other regional version of the group tech podcast. As an aside, if anyone who knows how to do a group podcast is interested in talking about doing one, drop me a line.

Anyway, I have been doing my RanchoCast podcasts since early December of last year. The mix is country rock, Americana, tech talk and blues. Over the past few episodes (and primarily on the last one), I have started talking a bit more about topics I have written about here. Surprisingly (at least to me), a few people have written me to say they enjoyed that part of the episode. Richard Querin tells me I explained my position on the whole Gatekeeper business better verbally than I did in writing.

All of this got me thinking a little about my podcast strategy.

Here’s my current plan, but I welcome suggestions. I’m figuring this out as we go, so don’t hesitate to tell me what I should or shouldn’t be doing.

First, I am going to make tech talk a regular part of the mix. My ideal split would be about 60/40 music to tech talk. I’d love to have guests, but I think it would be presumptive to think anyone would want to guest on my podcast. But if you write or think about tech and would like to guest, drop me a line. I would be happy to have any of the Web 2.0 developers on to talk about their product (just be ready to answer my first question: other than ads, what are your revenue streams?). So guests or not, I’m going to make tech talk a slightly bigger part of the mix.

Second, I am going to excerpt the non-music stuff and make it available separately- like I did with part of the tech talk last time. I don’t know if this is necessary, but I don’t want to lose listeners who only want to hear the tech talk- particularly if I have guests. If it looks like I should tweak the split or even split the podcast in two (I’d probably just alternate weekly between talking and doing music), I’ll consider that as well.

Third, I am going to do what I can to join up (either as a guest or in a group thing) with some other podcasters. I don’t know what opportunities are out there, but I am going to look around for them. I really like the give and take of the Gillmor Gang and would love to be a part of something similar to that. Of course, that’s sort of like saying I want to do something similar to David Letterman. So I’ll keep my expectations in check.

The more experience I get listening to and creating podcasts, the more I enjoy them.

So that’s my current plan. Please let me know if I’ve got it all wrong, or if you have any thoughts or suggestions.

Bloglines, Dwight & the Email Support Blues

After trying many online feed readers and after a rough start, I settled on Bloglines as my primary feed reader. I want an online reader, because I want things read here to show as read there.

bloglines

In general, I think Bloglines does a lot right. It’s faster than the other online readers I have tried, including some that you have to- gasp- pay for.

But it could be so much better.

Why, for example, are there some feeds that just will not work in Bloglines? I read Dwight Silverman every day, but not via Bloglines. It simply will not pull his feed (and I have the new RSS feed address).

And why aren’t there more options when you subscribe to a feed? I organize my reading list by the name of the blogger, as opposed to the blog name. So I have to sign up and then go back in and edit the name. Not the end of the world, but there’s no reason this can’t be handled on the front end.

Finally, has anyone ever had a problem resolved by emailing Bloglines? For some frustrating reason Bloglines shows my main page as “index.html,” which is both unnecessary (you don’t need to page address; just use http://www.newsome.org/) and wrong (it’s index.shtml). This means that people who try to click over to the main page from within bloglines get an error message (fortunately, the post pages have the correct URLs so clicking to a post page works properly). I’ve emailed tech support three times about this and no one has replied, other than via a canned response that they received my email and will look into it. Blah, blah, blah.

Dwight has a very timely article today on email tech support. Someone at Bloglines needs to read it. Put it on the bulletin board. Memorize it.

Here’s the thing.

No one has a secret formula where feed reading is concerned. So all of the feed readers do the same thing, as far as the big stuff goes. The war for market share will be won on the battleground of the little things.

And Bloglines isn’t doing the little things right.

I’m not ready to switch yet, but I’m starting to think about it. And that’s not the way to keep customers.

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Time Keeps on Slippin’

timeslippingSlippin’, slippin’ into the future.

And in the time wasting department comes news that consumer groups are going to fight the AT&T Bellsouth merger.

After that, maybe Pee Wee Hermann can fight Lenox Lewis. And then maybe Dr. Ruth can play one on one with Shaquille O’Neal. Dino from the Flintstones versus Godzilla and King Kong.

I’m all about being heard. And I’m all about the little guy. Heck, I’m a long time subscriber to Consumer Reports and I give money to Greenpeace.

So some part of me wants to applaud when I read that Consumers Union and the Consumer Federation of America are going to fight the man. But not really.

Because the U.S., particularly the business part of it, is all about the almighty dollar. And at some point if you continue to stand between the man and his money, you’re just wasting your time.

Why not take that time and money and use it where it might be able to make a difference.

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The Digital Trickle?

An article today at SiliconValley.com confirms what people have been expecting for some time: that the flow of new internet users in the U.S. has slowed dramatically.

This is the first cousin of the early adoption effect I talked about in the context of growth in the blogosphere and, while certainly a little troubling for the internet industry, shouldn’t be surprising.

And I don’t think it’s as bad as it may appear.

Two things will result in new user growth over the coming years. Both have to do with my suspicion that a disproportionate share of non-internet users fall into the categories of senior citizens and the economically disadvantaged.

To the very young, the internet is as integral to their daily lives as the telephone and the television. Most teenagers use the internet the way my generation used the phone when we were kids- as a way to stay connected with friends. They can’t remember a time when there wasn’t an internet, so there was no learning curve to overcome. As these kids grow up and have kids, the percentage of people who use the internet to one degree or another will continue to rise. Even economically disadvantaged kids have increasing access to the internet, either at school or via afternoon programs and neighborhood facilities.

Greater availability to the economically disadvantaged will be the other factor that drives growth. The problem is getting computers in the homes where people can more fully integrate them into their lives. There are a couple of factors that will help. One, computers are no longer the mystical, expensive devices they once were. Today, for about the price of a cell phone, you can buy a good computer. Two, the move by Google and others to create a cheaper method to access the internet may afford these computers an on-ramp to the internet. I made fun of Google’s plan to build another internet, but a computer with ads is certainly better than no computer at all.

Part of the 18% who say they aren’t interested in the internet are in one of both of those groups. And some part of that number, be they old or young, rich or poor, would develop interest in the internet if they knew more about it and had easy, affordable internet access.

The bottom line is that the early adopters have adopted, as have a lot of the utility users- the second phase who use the internet not because it’s cool, but because it is useful. But there are a lot of other potential users who will join the party as their generation ages and as the cost of admittance goes down.

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