A Growing Chorus of Reason

Amid the wild cheering and vast overvaluation that continue to inflate the Web 2.0 circus tent is a growing chorus of reason, trying valiantly to insert some logic and business sense into the conversations.

Dick Parsons, CEO of Time Warner, says what every other right-thinking CEO in America must think- that YouTube and Facebook are being overvalued.

Fortune Magazine has a story about Google’s chaotic search for it next big hit, which would be its second:

[I]t’s clear from Google’s tentative lurches into new forms of advertising and its spaghetti method of product development (toss against wall, see if sticks) that the company is searching for ways to grow beyond that well-run core.

Business Week has a cover story on click-fraud, the dark side of online advertising which has resulted in a growing distrust of the online advertising model:

In June, researcher Outsell Inc. released a blind survey of 407 advertisers, 37% of which said they had reduced or were planning to reduce their pay-per-click budgets because of fraud concerns. “The click fraud and bad sites are driving people away,” says Fleischmann. He’s trimming his online ad budget by 15% this year.

Meanwhile, a few bloggers continue to ask the questions a lot of the Web 2.0 cheerleaders don’t like to hear.

Nick Carr talks about lowered estimates for online ad spending.

Warner Crocker, who in a later post says I am a navel-gazer, asks the great question that my belly button lint has spelled out so many times before:

I’m still puzzled by the hustle to move everything to a web-service with money based on advertising (I know not every web service goes this way, but most have at least an eye on that model) when we have a culture that, in general despises advertising of any stripe. But yet, onward we go as we stick ads on this service and that.

The out of whack scale of much of Web 2.0 is the culprit for both the bubble blowing insanity and the cautionary chorus.

Until enough people demand that reason, good business sense, a sustainable revenue model, and some semblance of scale be introduced into the equation, we will always have the barkers hollering cash at the door to the tent and a crowd of people clutching their wallets and wondering whether they should step inside the tent or join the chorus.

Tags: ,

RanchoCast – September 22, 2006 Edition

No particular theme- just great music.

I play some great, hard to find songs by Guadalcanal Diary, Love Tractor, Country Joe McDonald, Dr. Hook & the Medicine Show and more. The rare vinyl segment consists of a great Stoney Edwards number and one by Leon Russell I bet you’ve never heard.

If you enjoy the RanchoCast, a great mix of classic rock, alt. country, rare vinyl, blues and tech talk, please tell your friends about it.

Morning Reading: 9/22/06

Windows Media 11 will be DRM-crazy, with no way to back up your licenses.  This is one of the many reasons why I have never and will never buy DRM-infested music.

Here’s a page with lots of handy geometry links.

Dumb Little Man on Why Top Employees Quit.

TechCrunch has a post on the redesigned MeeVee site.  I have been using MeeVee a little.  The thing that kills MeeVee for me are those video and other ads that pop up when you click on a show for episode information.

Jeremiah Owyang reports that Paypal will soon offer online storage.

Beware the dangerous TIVO.  I don’t think I watch more TV since I’ve had TIVO, but I do watch different TV.

Zooomer has announced a new email feature.

 Tags: ,

Look Out Mama There's a White Boat Comin' Up the River

With a big red beacon, and a flag, and a man on the rail.

Last night I wrote in another post that people who think the blogosphere is their road to riches don’t want to engage those who raise issues that might make people think the oasis up ahead is a only a mirage.  I implied that the reason they don’t is often because they have not thought about some of the issues raised and prefer to try to ignore the skeptics into silence.

And then I fire up my feeds this morning, and find one of the most unbelievable posts I have ever read.  Strike that- one of the most unbelievable things I have ever read.

Mike Arrington, the head cheerleader for Web 2.0 and the blogosphere’s biggest star, bashing the guy who writes Dead 2.0.  Let’s examine some quotes.

Mike says “He’s taken some hard and sometimes unfair shots at startups and at individuals (yes even me), and a lot of people probably don’t like him very much for what can be considered unfair attacks on them or their companies.

Where to start?

Well, for one, the “unfair shot” at Mike was a post, partly critical, partly complimentary and likely somewhat tongue in cheek, about the happening that is known to some as TechCrunch 7.  In fact, Mike himself responded to the post and, at least then, didn’t seem too upset by it.  Regardless, while the post did poke fun at the blogstar mentality, I didn’t find it to be all that mean spirited.  If you want to be a star, that sort of thing comes with the territory.

And it was certainly not as bad as calling someone as asshole in a post title, as Mike has been known to do.

And then this little nugget, from Mike’s post:

Should he be fired?

???

Later, Mike changed “Should” to “Will” and added a new final paragraph suggesting that this (whatever this is) will likely blow over.  And he even gave lip service to freedom of speech.  But even with the change, is Mike honestly suggesting that the Dead 2.0 guy should or might get fired for expressing his opinions in an anonymous blog?  What if his opinions had mirrored Mike’s exactly?  Should/would he be fired then?

Either there is a lot more to this story than meets the eye, or Mike is so far off base here that he can’t hear or see the game.

The so-called outing of the Dead 2.0 guy came via this post by Nic Cubrilovic.  His post also contains some good information about anonymity- or the lack thereof- in the blogosphere.  Nic did not give the name of the Dead 2.0 guy, a decision I applaud.  He just made it clear that he knows who he is.

Isn’t Nic the same guy who is rumored to be the editor of the new TechCrunch enterprise blog?

So a friend/employee of Mike Arrington outs (sort of) a guy who has been critical of both Mike and his beloved Web 2.0.

Hmmm.

I’ll leave you with one last quote, from Mike in a comment to his post:

Startups have enough variables to contend with to reach success without loose cannons creating yet more hurdles to overcome.”

I have a question for Mike (which I bet he won’t answer).  What defines a loose cannon?  Is skepticism about the Web 2.0 business model a loose cannon?  Is it being critical of you?  Or is it something else?  Please clarify this for me.

And, by the way, I voted No.

Tags: , ,

Morning Reading: 9/21/06

Neatorama has a story about 10 Scientific Frauds that Rocked the World.  Good heavens Miss Sakamoto – you’re beautiful!

Copyblogger has 5 Simple Ways to Open Your Blog Post With a Bang.

And if that doesn’t work, play the personality card… The Prometheus Institute (the sheer power of that name bends me into linking submission) has Five Tips to Increase Your Likeability

50 of the Funniest Homer Simpson Quotes. “Marge, don’t discourage the boy! Weaseling out of things is important to learn. It’s what separates us from the animals! Except the weasel.” (via Randy Morin)

Fred Wilson on the haphazard approach Technorati seems to take when it comes to updating blog stats.  Fred never gets updated.  I get updated every few hours, but my linkcount bounces up and down like a basketball- my numbers today are probably half what they were 6 months ago, and I get a lot more links now than I did back then.  Technorati is good for seeing who links to you so you can respond, but I’m not sure it’s all that accurate as far as the stats go.

Rosa Say on Humility in the Workplace. (via Richard Querin)

Tags: ,

My 10 Favorite Live Albums

I was talking with some friends about music today and we got on the topic of live records.

Here are my favorite live albums (at least as I listed them today), in order.

1. Allman Brothers – At Fillmore East
2. Grateful Dead – Europe ’72
3. Peter Frampton – Frampton Comes Alive
4. Bob Seger – Live Bullet
5. Lynyrd Skynyrd – One More From the Road
6. Emmylou Harris – At the Ryman
7. Little Feat – Waiting for Columbus
8. Mother’s Finest – Live
9. Talking Heads – Stop Making Sense
10. James Brown – Live at the Apollo

So what are your favorite live albums?

Tags: ,

Conversational Manifesto Update

I’ve continued to subtract and add to my blogroll as I put into action my conversational manifesto.  I’ve found some good new blogs, and I’ve dropped a lot of blogs that seem to talk at you and not with you.  It’s a work in progress, but I’m getting there.

TDavid has a very interesting post today on the conversational blogosphere.  He makes some good points that I’d like to respond to.

He gives a pretty accurate summary of the Web 2.0 movement, in which so-called companies try to get traffic by giving stuff away in the hopes that either Google or some clever VC will monetize that traffic for them.  The biggest mistake Web 2.0 made was the de facto requirement that everything be free.  It turns web sites into billboards and results in an upside down measuring stick by which the cost side of the balance sheet, traffic and use, is hailed as a worthy substitute for the revenue side and traffic matters much more than the prospects of the application that draws the traffic.

It would be hard to create a more upside down business plan.  It will work for some, the way the lottery works for some.  But it will fail for the vast majority.

TDavid’s not very excited about my archive search capabilities here at Newsome.Org- and I can’t argue with a thing he says about it.  I used to use a Perl script to do searches, but I dumped that in favor of Google.  I’d welcome any suggestions for a better search platform.  Once I find a better search approach, I’ll move the search box up.  Stuff like this is exactly why I enjoy blogging.  You never know how something you create works until people other than you try it out.

He also makes a very good point about blogs that are designed to make money- that some of them are very good, notwithstanding their purpose.  He cites Lifehacker and Download Squad as two such blogs.  I agree and would add TV Squad and Techdirt to that list.  I am a huge fan of Techdirt.  Having said that, while some are closer than others, I don’t really view those sites as blogs.  They use blogging platforms for content management, and they are interactive- but I see those sites as more of a new media news site or magazine than a blog.  For me a blog is, ultimately, a way to engage in distributed conversations with others.  Or maybe a way to exercise your writing skills- as TDavid suggests.  It might be splitting hairs- and by no means am I discounting the value of those sites.  They just aren’t traditional blogs in the way I think of blogs.

The problem with many money-oriented blogs is that, because they are selling something- be it an idea or an ad- they aren’t interested in entertaining the other side of the argument.  It you try to engage them on the issues that they hope or believe will make them money, they simply ignore you.  Which, at least in my mind, validates the other side of the argument.  It’s fine to use the blogosphere as a flea market to try and make a quick buck, but if you are going to claim to be a citizen of the blogosphere, you should at least be willing to engage other viewpoints.  If not to convince them, then at least to show that you’ve thought about some of the concerns they express.

TDavid affirms the argument made by Shelley Powers the other day- that we can get plenty of traffic without diving into the chaotic and ultimately unfulfilling echo chamber that is, too often, the A-List blogarena.  I enjoy talking with some high traffic bloggers, but when I do, it’s not because they have traffic.  It’s because some of them still value conversation and the exchange of ideas over self-importance.  The ones who start believing their own bullshit get booted from my blogroll in favor of those who view blogging as a mode of expression and not as a way to make up for real world inadequacies.

The more I think about it, the more I start to think that it’s only a few of the mega-bloggers who screw the whole system up for the rest of us.  Many mega-bloggers seem to be interested in the same sort of stuff that the rest of are seeking.  The problem is that a lot of the normal exchanges get drowned out by the bluster of the attention-mongering children that sometimes pose as the blogosphere’s resident intellectuals.  Plus, real world friendships bond some of the good guys to some of the not-so-good guys.  How else can you explain Doc Searls‘ continued involvement with Steve Gillmor.  No one, not even Doc, can convince me that Doc isn’t secretly dismayed by at least half the insanity that comes out of Steve’s mouth.  But Doc stands by someone who, I assume, is a long time real world friend.  You can’t blame him for that.

The trick is for those of us who share the same blogging philosophy to create a de facto discussion group, build some momentum, and welcome the new voices who wonder over to our campfire and take a seat.  If we can do that, all of these collateral issues will take care of themselves.

TDavid is a good and thoughtful writer.  I’ll take him up on his offer to look back at things on 9/6/11 and see how the blogosphere, and our roles in it, have changed.  Put it on your calendar.

In the meantime, take a seat by the campfire and tell a story or two.  Otherwise, this blogging thing starts to feel like work. Low paying, thankless and boring work.

It doesn’t have to be that way- if we work together.

Tags: , ,

Jericho- Looks Very Promising

 

jericho

I just watched the series premiere of Jericho, and so far I’d say it is shaping up to be a great show.  Lots of good stuff in the first episode- that was an intense moment when they realized that Atlanta had been blown up too.

Most shows I like (Surface, Invasion, Threshold, etc.) get canceled almost immediately, so I hope I’m not cursing this show, but I am looking forward to it.

TVSquad has a mixed, but mostly positive review.

Tags: ,

Morning Reading: 9/20/06

DVGuru compares 10 video sharing services, including YouTube and Google Video.

Neil Patel on using Digg and Netscape to get blog traffic.  I haven’t really used either, and didn’t know it was cool to Digg your own posts.  I have Digg this links at the bottom of my posts now, so feel free to Digg my LP to MP3 post– I did.

Techdirt (the one mega-blog I’d read if I could only read one) on Yahoo’s newest adventures in DRM-free music.  If Disney would get behind the anti-DRM movement, it would help a lot.  I just wish Google would take a break from collecting all our data and tossing ads in our face long enough to join the fray.

Marshall Kirkpatrick has an excellent post entitled A Week in DRM Wonderland.  Marshall makes TechCrunch tolerable for me, and I suspect a lot of others.

Sizeasy lets you check the size of something you might buy against the size of all such diverse things as a deck of cards, a wine bottle and a computer monitor.  Very cool, but it should have more choices for comparison- like a configurable table or shelves.  (via DownloadSquad)

Fred Wilson has given up podcasting, saying it’s too hard.  We are still waiting for a desktop application that makes it as easy as it could be.

Tags: ,

New Problogger Writing Project

Darren Rowse has started a new writing project, this time on “How to” posts.

I submitted my LP to MP3 post.

Among the many good entries so far are:

How to Survive Your Young Husband’s First (Unexpected) Heart Attack by Olivia
How to Overcome Fear by Scott
How to Be Bald by Dave
How to get promoted when you work from home by Home Office Blues
Quieting the Monsters… or how to feed your Children by Miscellaneous Mum
LJP – the Treo 600 Gameboy Emulator by Tam
Make a simple diagonal page background using photoshop and css by Ben
How to Be a Parent and Still Have Fun by Mama Duck
Manage Your Manager – How to cope with Ineffectual leadership by Katy
How to Dress Like a Desperate Housewife by Leora
How to Make a Rubbish Website by Tim
How To Participate in the Blogging Community by Ray
The Great Flood by Jude
How to Jam a Printer and Settle for Tie-Dye by Deb
How to build a GARDENING blog that’s bigger than Boing Boing by Stuart
How to Get Rich in Three Easy Steps by FMF
How do I get a job in the Car Industry by Gary
Become a Blogging Maniac by Tammy
How to Dangerously Inflate your Ego via Blogging by Wendy
How to Proofread Your Own Writing by Anne
How to Sell Your Home for Sale by Owner by Rob
The Inside Scoop on How to Get Published by Tasra
Don’t get caught misunderstanding the difference between APR and APY by Ricemutt
Set up your blog using Textpattern by Jaro
How to write a great blog post by Leroy
Integrating a Forum with WordPress by ZMAng
The Process of Making a Stock Trade by Blain
How to Keep Your Relationship Healthy With your Wife by Matt
Take Your Cell Phone to the Next Level by Eltan
How to Make Buyers Fall in Love With Your Home by Paul
6 Ways to Improve Navigation and Increase Page Views by Joe
How to Enhance Mac Security by fcodc
How to Have a Relationship with God for Eternity by Scott
How to Set Up Tor and Privoxy on Ubuntu Linux by Corvillus
How to Save Money at the Grocery Store by Shannon
How to Make Your Retirement Money Last by Arieanna
How to Help Find a Cure for Diseases with Your Computer’s Unused Processing Time by Brent
How to Play Video Games with a Baby by Lynn
Quit smoking (or not) one flaw at a time by Northern Girl
Harness the Power of Word Cross-References for Mammoth Documents by Andrew
How to Let Go and Move on by Milo
How to Make Time for the Important by Basil
Get Healthy in 30 days! by Rt @ Real Muscle Online
How to Week at Instigator Blog by Benjamin
How to load Garmin TOPO maps to your hard drive by Rich
One simple knot that keeps your shoes tied by Blaine
How to Tame the Caps Lock key by Jhay
How to Bring Art to the Unwashed Masses by Jennie
How to Make a Short Film for Tropfest by Jason
Channel Your Historical Mentors by David
How to Start Bird Watching so that you’ll keep Bird Watching by Mike
Position your Fish Tank for Prosperity and Growth by Renée
How to have a successful career in politics (Jamaican style) by Xaymaca
Hair for Sale by Billy
Showing Posts When there’s no Related Posts by Ken
Learning the basics about Sharpening by Steve
How to Make it Big in the NBA if You’re Small by Easterangel
How to Find Your Niche by Alsuran
Do Blackbirds Swoop? How to Deal with Aggressive Bird Behavior by Trevor
How to Make a Family Documentary by Ron

Tags: , ,